Nov 7, 2022 at 7pm UK at The Weaver Stadium
Stoke U21s
4 - 0
Derby U21s
Tezgel (4', 13'),
Lowe (64'), McGuinness (87')
Adebambo (32'), Roney (38'), Baker (67'),
Sparrow (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Stoke City Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 59.98%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 20.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-21s would win this match.
Result |
Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
59.98% ( -0) | 19.41% ( 0.02) | 20.61% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 65.5% ( -0.09) |
69.85% ( -0.11) | 30.15% ( 0.11) |
48.63% ( -0.13) | 51.37% ( 0.13) |
Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
90.05% ( -0.03) | 9.95% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.08% ( -0.08) | 32.91% ( 0.07) |
Derby County Under-21s Goals |
72.74% ( -0.08) | 27.26% ( 0.08) |