SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
64.68% ( 0.13) | 18.66% ( -0.04) | 16.65% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.39% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( 0.01) | 33.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.94% ( 0.01) | 55.06% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.26% ( 0.03) | 9.73% ( -0.04) |
