SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomiak Radom win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Korona Kielce |
46.06% ( 0.47) | 25.58% ( -0.21) | 28.36% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.24% ( 0.71) | 50.76% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( 0.62) | 72.66% ( -0.62) |
| Radomiak Radom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( 0.52) | 22.02% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.65% ( 0.78) | 55.35% ( -0.78) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.17) | 32.3% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.2% ( 0.2) | 68.8% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slask Wroclaw | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Legia WarsawLegia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 25 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Warta Poznan | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 16 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Ruch Chorzow | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 | LKS Lodz | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 8 |
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