SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
32.04% ( -0.05) | 27.81% ( 0.01) | 40.15% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% ( -0.04) | 57.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% ( -0.03) | 78.68% ( 0.03) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.05) | 33.37% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.01% ( -0.06) | 69.99% ( 0.06) |
| Piast Gliwice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( 0.01) | 28.26% ( -0.01) |
