Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
