SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Glenavon |
67.35% ( -0.17) | 18.88% ( 0.06) | 13.77% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -0.04) | 40.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -0.04) | 62.96% ( 0.03) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% ( -0.06) | 11.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.48% ( -0.13) | 35.52% ( 0.12) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( 0.14) | 41.42% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.07% ( 0.12) | 77.93% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.02% Total : 67.34% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.88% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 13.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| R | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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