SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Glentoran |
43.5% ( -0.01) | 26.88% ( -0) | 29.61% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( 0.01) | 55.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( 0.01) | 76.54% ( -0.01) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% | 25.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.02% ( 0) | 59.98% ( -0) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( 0.01) | 33.74% ( -0.02) |
