SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Loughgall |
26.48% ( 0.1) | 23.31% ( 0.03) | 50.2% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( -0.05) | 42.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.04) | 64.61% ( 0.05) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.05) | 29.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.8% ( 0.06) | 65.2% ( -0.06) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.06) | 16.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.98% ( -0.11) | 47.02% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 50.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | LarneLarne | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 58 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 55 | 15 | 40 | 54 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 41 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | GlenavonGlenavon | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 7 | ColeraineColeraine | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
| 8 | Loughgall | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 25 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 12 |
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