SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Woking would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Woking | Draw | Eastleigh |
46.65% ( -0.13) | 24.04% ( 0) | 29.3% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% ( 0.05) | 43.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% ( 0.05) | 65.97% ( -0.05) |
| Woking Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( -0.03) | 18.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.7% ( -0.05) | 50.29% ( 0.05) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( 0.11) | 27.94% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.44% ( 0.14) | 63.56% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Woking | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Bromley | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Rochdale | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 16 |
| 20 | York City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 14 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 10 |
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