SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Altrincham |
38.43% ( -0.02) | 24.24% ( -0) | 37.34% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.97% ( 0.03) | 42.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.56% ( 0.02) | 64.44% ( -0.02) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( 0.01) | 21.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.84% ( 0) | 55.16% ( 0) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.03) | 22.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.02% ( 0.03) | 55.99% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 42 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 103 |
| 2 | Notts County | 43 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 108 | 39 | 69 | 100 |
| 3 | Woking | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 76 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 69 | 47 | 22 | 75 |
| 5 | Barnet | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 69 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 65 |
| 8 | Bromley | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 63 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 60 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 53 |
| 14 | Halifax TownHalifax | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 51 |
| 16 | Gateshead | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 49 |
| 17 | York City | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 49 |
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 49 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 45 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 43 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 39 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 46 | 80 | -34 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 43 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 25 |
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