SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Torquay United |
51.88% ( 0.49) | 24.31% ( -0.08) | 23.81% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( -0.01) | 48.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( -0) | 71.01% ( 0.01) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.19) | 18.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.72% ( 0.31) | 50.28% ( -0.31) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.35) | 35.04% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.22% ( -0.37) | 71.78% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.87% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 74 | 27 | 47 | 71 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 72 | 24 | 48 | 68 |
| 3 | Woking | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Barnet | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
| 14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 35 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | York City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 |
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
| 20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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