SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
41.32% ( 0.03) | 24.56% ( -0.05) | 34.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.99% ( 0.23) | 44.01% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.6% ( 0.22) | 66.39% ( -0.23) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.11) | 21.36% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.67% ( 0.17) | 54.33% ( -0.18) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( 0.12) | 25.12% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.18% ( 0.17) | 59.82% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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