Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
26.87% ( -6.81) | 25.37% ( -0.03) | 47.75% ( 6.83) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( -3.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.18% ( -2.92) | 50.82% ( 2.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.29% ( -2.63) | 72.71% ( 2.63) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( -6.25) | 33.48% ( 6.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% ( -7.46) | 70.11% ( 7.46) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( 1.94) | 21.3% ( -1.94) |