SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Fylde |
46.12% ( 0.02) | 24.16% ( -0.01) | 29.72% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.12% ( 0.05) | 43.87% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.74% ( 0.05) | 66.26% ( -0.06) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.03) | 19.18% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.14% ( 0.05) | 50.85% ( -0.05) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.02) | 27.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.61% ( 0.02) | 63.39% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Fylde |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 4% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.12% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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