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National League | Gameweek 53
May 15, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Ground
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Aldershot
1 - 3
Hartlepool
Bettamer (87' pen.)
Kandi (56'), Kinsella (57'), Tanner (76'), Sendles-White (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (59'), Oates (77'), Featherstone (90' pen.)
Holohan (90')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Hartlepool United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawHartlepool United
32.49%26.57%40.94%
Both teams to score 51.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87%53.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3%74.7%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42%30.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19%66.81%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44%25.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57%60.43%
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 32.49%
    Hartlepool United 40.94%
    Draw 26.57%
Aldershot TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-2 @ 7.27%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.94%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chesterfield15122136211538
2Barnet16122235211438
3Solihull MoorsSolihull168622518730
4Bromley168532517829
5AltrinchamAltrincham157622820827
6Gateshead1574434191525
7Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool168172627-125
8Halifax TownHalifax166641815324
9Eastleigh166552527-223
10Oldham AthleticOldham165742422222
11Aldershot TownAldershot166372528-321
12Rochdale165562625120
13Woking165471919019
14Dorking WanderersDorking155371721-418
15Southend UnitedSouthend1683530171317
16WealdstoneWealdstone164571723-617
17Ebbsfleet165292330-717
18Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red164481621-516
19Boreham WoodBoreham Wood163761623-716
20York City163672432-815
21Oxford CityOxford City163582331-814
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead162771323-1013
23Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster163491020-1013
24Fylde1624102136-1510
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