SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Braintree Town |
51.5% ( 0.64) | 22.29% ( -0.19) | 26.21% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 62.14% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.36% ( 0.54) | 37.64% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.12% ( 0.58) | 59.88% ( -0.57) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( 0.41) | 14.82% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.88% ( 0.77) | 43.12% ( -0.77) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( -0.03) | 27.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.58% ( -0.04) | 62.42% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.17% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 110 | 47 | 63 | 103 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 83 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 83 | 56 | 27 | 78 |
| 4 | Worthing | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 92 | 72 | 20 | 78 |
| 5 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 78 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 75 |
| 7 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 74 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 46 | 22 | 5 | 19 | 74 | 66 | 8 | 71 |
| 9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 70 |
| 10 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 80 | 70 | 10 | 69 |
| 11 | Bath City | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 67 |
| 12 | Farnborough Town | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 66 |
| 13 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 62 |
| 14 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 61 |
| 15 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 60 |
| 16 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 58 |
| 17 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 54 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 78 | -20 | 51 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 46 | 14 | 6 | 26 | 59 | 78 | -19 | 48 |
| 20 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 48 |
| R | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 61 | 89 | -28 | 48 |
| R | Concord Rangers | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 45 | 85 | -40 | 44 |
| R | Cheshunt | 46 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 43 |
| R | Hungerford TownHungerford | 46 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 40 |
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