Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Slough Town win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
Result | ||
Slough Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
20.3% ( 0.04) | 21.44% ( -0.02) | 58.26% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.58% ( 0.15) | 40.41% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.21% ( 0.16) | 62.79% ( -0.16) |
Slough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.45% ( 0.13) | 33.54% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.81% ( 0.14) | 70.18% ( -0.14) |
Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.38% ( 0.04) | 13.61% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.23% ( 0.09) | 40.76% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Slough Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.72% 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 20.3% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 58.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 63 |
2 | DartfordDartford | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
3 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 53 |
4 | Worthing | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 52 |
5 | Oxford CityOxford City | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
6 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
7 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 45 |
8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 45 |
9 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 41 |
11 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Farnborough Town | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bath City | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 35 |
15 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 31 |
17 | Slough TownSlough | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 29 |
18 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 28 |
19 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 25 |
20 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 25 |
21 | Cheshunt | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 25 |
22 | Concord Rangers | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 23 |
23 | Weymouth | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 21 |
24 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 18 |
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