Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
