SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dulwich Hamlet win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dulwich Hamlet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dulwich Hamlet | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
41.69% ( -0.14) | 23.94% ( -0.02) | 34.36% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.98% ( 0.13) | 41.01% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.59% ( 0.14) | 63.41% ( -0.14) |
| Dulwich Hamlet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( -0.01) | 19.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.94% ( -0.01) | 52.05% ( 0.01) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( 0.15) | 23.57% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.37% ( 0.22) | 57.63% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dulwich Hamlet | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 36 | 45 | 80 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 35 | 29 | 66 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 59 |
| 5 | Worthing | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 59 |
| 6 | Braintree TownBraintree | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
| 9 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 52 |
| 10 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 35 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Farnborough Town | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
| 12 | Bath City | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 48 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 48 |
| 14 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 43 |
| 15 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 16 | Slough TownSlough | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 63 | -24 | 36 |
| 17 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 33 |
| 18 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 32 |
| 20 | Cheshunt | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 31 |
| 21 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 30 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 28 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 27 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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