SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
16.19% ( 1.43) | 22.12% ( 1.15) | 61.69% ( -2.57) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( -2.08) | 49.82% ( 2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( -1.89) | 71.82% ( 1.89) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.24% ( 0.69) | 43.76% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.07% ( 0.56) | 79.93% ( -0.56) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( -1.5) | 15.64% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.33% ( -2.87) | 44.67% ( 2.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.55% Total : 16.19% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.25)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.28% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.34)0-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.46)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.07% Total : 61.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 37 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 88 | 38 | 50 | 84 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 67 |
| 3 | Braintree TownBraintree | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 62 |
| 4 | Oxford CityOxford City | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 60 |
| 6 | Worthing | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 60 |
| 7 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 59 |
| 8 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 56 | 55 | 1 | 57 |
| 9 | Farnborough Town | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 53 |
| 10 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 52 |
| 11 | Bath City | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 52 |
| 12 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 49 |
| 14 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 44 |
| 15 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Slough TownSlough | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 36 |
| 18 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Cheshunt | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 35 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 49 | 73 | -24 | 35 |
| 21 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 34 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 31 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 28 |
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