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National League South | Gameweek 19
Dec 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
Bath City
2 - 2
Worthing
Cox (57', 63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pearce (54'), Starkey (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 0-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 4-3 Hampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawWorthing
37.04% (0.39 0.39) 25.56% (0.114 0.11) 37.4% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.397 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (-0.511 -0.51)48.2% (0.51 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (-0.47 -0.47)70.35% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.41% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)60.22% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.511 -0.51)25.21% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.708 -0.71)59.95% (0.707 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 37.04%
    Worthing 37.4%
    Draw 25.55%
Bath CityDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.179 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.04%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 37.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bath City 1-3 Chippenham
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Bath City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Welling United
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 4-3 Hampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-3 Weymouth
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 0-6 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-5 Worthing
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil14102228161232
2Aveley148242213926
3Bath City147432720725
4Farnborough TownFarnborough156632719824
5Maidstone UnitedMaidstone146621913624
6Hampton & RichmondHampton157352322124
7Taunton TownTaunton Town156632019124
8Worthing147252220223
9Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd147162522322
10St Albans CitySt Albans City157172019122
11Chelmsford CityChelmsford City145631813521
12Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.145631918121
13DartfordDartford155462118319
14Braintree TownBraintree144641814418
15Weston-super-MareWeston145361823-518
16Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels155371823-518
17Chippenham TownChippenham144551820-217
18Weymouth154561620-417
19Truro CityTruro City144462120116
20Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne154472025-516
21Slough TownSlough143472126-513
22Welling UnitedWelling United142571223-1111
23Dover AthleticDover Athletic141761628-1210
24Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville1413101530-156
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