SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Boston United |
28.04% ( -2.97) | 25.83% ( -0.5) | 46.14% ( 3.48) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.65) | 51.96% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( 0.56) | 73.7% ( -0.56) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( -1.85) | 33.17% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.22% ( -2.09) | 69.78% ( 2.09) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( 1.95) | 22.49% ( -1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.95% ( 2.83) | 56.05% ( -2.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.62)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.04% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.71)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.56)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fylde | 45 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 78 | 44 | 34 | 92 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 90 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 45 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 68 | 41 | 27 | 81 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 68 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 45 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 68 |
| 6 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Buxton | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 67 |
| 8 | Chorley | 45 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 66 |
| 9 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 66 |
| 10 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 71 | 65 | 6 | 65 |
| 11 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 65 |
| 12 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 65 |
| 13 | Darlington | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 71 | 64 | 7 | 64 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 55 |
| 16 | Boston UnitedBoston | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 53 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 19 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 50 |
| 20 | Kettering TownKettering | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 49 |
| 21 | Blyth Spartans | 45 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 47 |
| 22 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 46 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 45 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 45 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 34 | 72 | -38 | 32 |
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