SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Alfreton Town |
51.47% ( -0.03) | 25.41% ( 0.01) | 23.12% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% ( -0.02) | 53.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% ( -0.02) | 75.35% ( 0.02) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.02) | 20.96% ( 0.02) |
