SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Brackley Town |
21.76% ( 0.02) | 25.67% ( 0.01) | 52.56% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( -0.02) | 56.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( -0.02) | 77.17% ( 0.02) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( 0) | 41.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.43% ( 0) | 77.57% ( -0) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( -0.02) | 21.39% ( 0.02) |
