SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Banbury United |
37.74% ( 0.01) | 26.53% ( -0.02) | 35.72% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0.06) | 52.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( 0.05) | 74.12% ( -0.06) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( 0.03) | 27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.64% ( 0.05) | 62.35% ( -0.05) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( 0.03) | 28.18% ( -0.03) |
