Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
Result | ||
Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Buxton |
26.46% ( -0.86) | 22.31% ( -0.38) | 51.23% ( 1.23) |
Both teams to score 62.34% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.51% ( 1.08) | 37.48% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.29% ( 1.15) | 59.71% ( -1.15) |
Scarborough Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( -0.04) | 26.78% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.93% ( -0.06) | 62.06% ( 0.05) |
Buxton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.14% ( 0.81) | 14.85% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.82% ( 1.53) | 43.18% ( -1.53) |
Score Analysis |
Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Buxton |
2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.46% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.16% Total : 51.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Fylde | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 80 | 44 | 36 | 95 |
2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 84 | 43 | 41 | 93 |
3 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 84 |
4 | Brackley Town | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 69 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 69 |
6 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 69 |
7 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 75 | 68 | 7 | 68 |
8 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 74 | 69 | 5 | 68 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 68 | 67 | 1 | 68 |
10 | Darlington | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 67 |
11 | Buxton | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 67 |
12 | Chorley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 66 |
13 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 65 |
14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 57 |
15 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 68 | 66 | 2 | 56 |
16 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 55 |
17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 54 |
18 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 50 |
19 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 50 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 50 |
R | Kettering TownKettering | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 63 | -22 | 49 |
R | Leamington FCLeamington | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 48 |
R | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 46 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 32 |
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