MX23RW : Saturday, April 29 19:47:06
SM
Saturday, April 29
National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium
Scarborough Ath
0 - 1
Buxton
 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boden (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chorley 2-3 Scarborough Ath
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-0 Boston
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawBuxton
26.46% (-0.859 -0.86) 22.31% (-0.375 -0.38) 51.23% (1.231 1.23)
Both teams to score 62.34% (0.559 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.51% (1.077 1.08)37.48% (-1.08 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.29% (1.149 1.15)59.71% (-1.151 -1.15)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)26.78% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)62.06% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (0.81 0.81)14.85% (-0.812 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.82% (1.525 1.53)43.18% (-1.528 -1.53)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 26.46%
    Buxton 51.23%
    Draw 22.31%
Scarborough AthleticDrawBuxton
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 26.46%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.191 0.19)
0-3 @ 4.6% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.99% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.169 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.131 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.9% (0.109 0.11)
1-5 @ 1.1% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 51.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chorley 2-3 Scarborough Ath
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Southport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 2-2 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-0 Boston
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Buxton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-3 Buxton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFylde46298980443695
2King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn462712784434193
3Chester FCChester462218672413184
4Brackley Town4618151357471069
5Alfreton TownAlfreton4617181154441069
6Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster461912154942769
7Gloucester CityGloucester City461911167568768
8Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath461814147469568
9Spennymoor TownSpennymoor461814146867168
10Darlington461813157264867
11Buxton461813155554167
12Chorley4617151462501266
13Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton461811175855365
14Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports461512195055-557
15Boston UnitedBoston461511206866256
16Hereford UnitedHereford461510214756-955
17Banbury UnitedBanbury461315185562-754
18SouthportSouthport461311225062-1250
19Blyth Spartans461214204962-1350
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic461214205175-2450
RKettering TownKettering461116194163-2249
RLeamington FCLeamington461018184160-1948
RBradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av461113224365-2246
RAFC Telford UnitedTelford46614263576-4132
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