National League North | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford
3 - 1
Scarborough Ath
Babos (33'), Cowley (48'), Ceesay (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Scarborough Athletic.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result |
| Hereford United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
58.46% ( -0.31) | 23.43% ( 0.03) | 18.1% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( 0.42) |
| 47.95% ( 0.29) | 52.05% ( -0.29) |
| 26.22% ( 0.25) | 73.78% ( -0.25) |
| 82.46% ( -0.01) | 17.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.93% ( -0.01) | 48.07% ( 0.01) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| 57.3% ( 0.51) | 42.7% ( -0.52) |
