SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Banbury United |
47.91% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( -0) | 27.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( 0.01) | 49.05% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( 0) | 71.13% ( -0) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( 0.01) | 20.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47% ( 0.01) | 53% ( -0.01) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( -0) | 32.36% ( 0) |
