Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
