SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
48.69% ( -0.3) | 24.03% ( 0.17) | 27.28% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( -0.68) | 44.81% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( -0.65) | 67.17% ( 0.65) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -0.38) | 18.51% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.27% ( -0.64) | 49.72% ( 0.64) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.26) | 30.01% ( 0.25) |
