SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
37.28% ( 3.53) | 26.2% ( 0.02) | 36.51% ( -3.54) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.24) | 51.04% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( 0.21) | 72.9% ( -0.21) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 2.24) | 26.6% ( -2.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.17% ( 2.87) | 61.83% ( -2.87) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -1.85) | 27.04% ( 1.85) |
