SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Leamington FC |
50.86% ( -0.24) | 26.71% ( 0.02) | 22.44% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.88% ( 0.12) | 59.12% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% ( 0.09) | 79.57% ( -0.09) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.06) | 23.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.6% ( -0.08) | 57.4% ( 0.08) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.94% ( 0.29) | 42.07% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.51% ( 0.25) | 78.49% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Leamington FC |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.85% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fylde | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 71 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 68 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 37 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 61 |
| 5 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 58 |
| 6 | Darlington | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 49 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Chorley | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
| 8 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 56 |
| 9 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 52 |
| 10 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 49 |
| 11 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 49 |
| 12 | Buxton | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 49 |
| 13 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 49 |
| 14 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 46 |
| 15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | SouthportSouthport | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 44 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 44 |
| 18 | Kettering TownKettering | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 42 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 41 |
| 20 | Leamington FCLeamington | 36 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
| 21 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 38 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 37 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 34 |
| 24 | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 38 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 25 |
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