SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Farsley Celtic | 7 | -5 | 5 |
| 23 | Bradford Park Avenue | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 24 | Boston United | 7 | -8 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Leamington FC | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Darlington | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Darlington |
21.57% ( 0.34) | 26.24% ( -0.09) | 52.19% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( 0.63) | 58.27% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( 0.49) | 78.9% ( -0.49) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.54% ( 0.73) | 42.46% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.17% ( 0.62) | 78.83% ( -0.62) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.16) | 22.45% ( -0.16) |
