Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Blyth Spartans | Draw | Chorley |
25.84% ( 0) | 25.79% ( 0.01) | 48.36% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% ( -0.03) | 53.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% ( -0.02) | 74.77% ( 0.03) |
Blyth Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% ( -0.01) | 35.61% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% ( -0.01) | 72.38% ( 0.02) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.98% ( -0.01) | 22.01% ( 0.02) |