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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Portland Timbers |
60.5% ( 0.37) | 21.07% ( -0.18) | 18.43% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.43% ( 0.54) | 41.57% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.03% ( 0.54) | 63.96% ( -0.54) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( 0.28) | 13.31% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.84% ( 0.56) | 40.16% ( -0.56) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( 0.12) | 36.15% ( -0.11) |
