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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 46.79% | 26.42% | 26.79% |
| Both teams to score 49.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
