Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
