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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 58.89% | 22.72% | 18.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
