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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 21 | -2 | 26 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 22 | -4 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 22 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Toronto | 22 | -9 | 22 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | -17 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
67.08% ( -0) | 18.9% ( 0) | 14.01% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.85% ( -0.01) | 40.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.48% ( -0.01) | 62.51% ( 0.01) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0) | 11.05% ( 0) |
