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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 28 | 5 | 39 |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | -1 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | -6 | 32 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | -12 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
56.5% ( 0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) | 20.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( -0.05) | 47.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.04) | 69.3% ( 0.05) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -0.01) | 16.45% ( 0.01) |
