Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
