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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | -18 | 23 |
| 10 | DC United | 25 | -22 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 6 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
33.27% ( -0.41) | 25.83% ( 0.24) | 40.9% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( -1.13) | 49.88% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% ( -1.02) | 71.87% ( 1.02) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( -0.81) | 28.45% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.78% ( -1.03) | 64.22% ( 1.03) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.41) | 24.12% ( 0.42) |
