Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guingamp in this match.
