SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rodez AF | Draw | Dijon |
26.58% ( -0.25) | 27.86% ( 0.03) | 45.56% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.77% ( -0.23) | 60.22% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% ( -0.17) | 80.4% ( 0.17) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% ( -0.34) | 38.84% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.43% ( -0.33) | 75.57% ( 0.33) |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( 0.01) | 26.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.41% ( 0.01) | 61.59% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rodez AF | Draw | Dijon |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.58% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 13.65% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.95% Total : 45.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Metz | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Bastia | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Grenoble | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Caen | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Paris FCParis FC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 39 |
| 12 | GuingampGuingamp | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 39 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | PauPau | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 33 |
| 16 | Annecy | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Laval | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Dijon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
| 19 | Nimes | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 29 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 26 |
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