SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Guingamp win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Metz |
25.1% ( -0.08) | 25.45% ( -0.05) | 49.44% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( 0.13) | 52.42% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( 0.11) | 74.1% ( -0.11) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( 0) | 35.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.41% ( 0) | 72.59% ( -0) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( 0.11) | 21.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.88% ( 0.17) | 54.11% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guingamp | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.1% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 49.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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