SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bordeaux in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Bordeaux |
27.27% ( -0.91) | 26.3% ( -0.08) | 46.43% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.76% ( -0.18) | 54.24% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( -0.16) | 75.64% ( 0.15) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( -0.82) | 34.99% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.26% ( -0.87) | 71.73% ( 0.87) |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 0.39) | 23.33% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.71% ( 0.56) | 57.29% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guingamp | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.27% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 44 | 15 | 29 | 71 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Metz | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 65 |
| 4 | Bastia | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 56 |
| 5 | Caen | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 52 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | GuingampGuingamp | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Paris FCParis FC | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 48 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 46 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | PauPau | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | Laval | 35 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 40 |
| 16 | Valenciennes | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
| 17 | Dijon | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 38 |
| 18 | Annecy | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 |
| 19 | Nimes | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 35 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 27 |
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