SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
18.41% ( -0.06) | 21.45% ( -0.03) | 60.14% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.03) | 43.31% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( 0.03) | 65.71% ( -0.03) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% ( -0.05) | 37.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.01% ( -0.05) | 73.99% ( 0.05) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.04) | 13.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.51% ( 0.08) | 41.49% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.41% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 60.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
| 3 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
| 8 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Clermont | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | Nice | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 45 |
| 11 | Lorient | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 40 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 | Troyes | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 41 | 69 | -28 | 22 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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