MX23RW : Wednesday, April 5 12:57:08
SM
El Clasico: 6 hrs 2 mins
Apr 18, 2021 at 8pm UK at La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Nantes
1 - 2
Lyon
 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Depay (5', 37' pen.), Pallois (60')
Denayer (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 68.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawLyon
12.44%18.89%68.67%
Both teams to score 48.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16%43.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77%66.23%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.45%45.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.63%81.37%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31%11.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22%36.78%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 12.44%
    Lyon 68.66%
    Draw 18.89%
NantesDrawLyon
1-0 @ 4.19%
2-1 @ 3.53%
2-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 0.99%
3-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.44%
1-1 @ 8.99%
0-0 @ 5.32%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.89%
0-2 @ 12.26%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-3 @ 8.78%
1-3 @ 6.9%
0-4 @ 4.71%
1-4 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-5 @ 2.02%
1-5 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 68.66%

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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG29213568293966
2Lens29179348212760
3Marseille29186554292560
4MonacoMonaco29176661402157
5Lille29157754371752
6Rennes29155947301750
7Reims291113539281146
8Nice291112638261245
9Lyon29128944321244
10Lorient2912894240244
11Montpellier HSCMontpellier29114144548-337
12Clermont29107122941-1237
13Toulouse29105144451-735
14NantesNantes29612113040-1030
15Brest2969143347-1427
16StrasbourgStrasbourg29511133750-1326
17Auxerre2968152451-2726
18Troyes2949163862-2421
19Ajaccio2963202152-3121
20Angers2925222264-4211
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