Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
