SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
51.39% ( -0.07) | 22.98% ( 0.02) | 25.63% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.03) | 41.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( -0.03) | 63.78% ( 0.03) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% ( -0.03) | 16.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.3% ( -0.07) | 45.7% ( 0.07) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( 0.03) | 29.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.54% ( 0.03) | 65.46% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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